Publications

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Publications

Conceptual and Qualitative Models

1.       Payo, A., Hall, J.W., Dickson, M.E., Walkden, M.J. (2014) Feedback structure of cliff and shore platform morphodynamics. Journal of Coastal Conservation(Special Issue) DOI: 10.1007/s11852-014-0342-z

2.       Payo, A., Hall, J., Favis-Mortlock, D., Ives, M. C. (2015) A multi-landform numerical framework for modelling large scale coastal morphodynamics. Coastal Sediments 2015 (Proceedings of). ISBN: 978-981-4689-96-0

In Press

1.       French, J.R., Burningham, H., Thornhill, G., Whitehouse, R. and Nicholls, R.J. Conceptualizing and mapping coupled estuary, coast and inner shelf sediment systems. Geomorphology. DOI: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2015.10.006

2.       French, J.R., Payo, A., Murray, A.B., Orford, J., Eliot, M., Cowell, P Appropriate complexity for the prediction of coastal and estuarine geomorphic behaviour at decadal to centennial scales. Geomorphology. DOI: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2015.10.005

3.       French J.R., Burningham H., Thornhill G., Nicholls R.J. (2016) Integrating estuarine, coastal and inner shelf sediment systems in a common conceptual framework as a basis for participatory shoreline management. Geomorphology and society

4.       Payo, A., Hall, J.W., French, J.R., Sutherland, J., van Maanen, B., Nicholls, R.J., Reeve, D.E (2015) Causal loop analysis of coastal geomorphological systems. Geomorphology. DOI: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2015.07.048

In Preparation

1.       Payo, A., Hall, J. W., French, J., Elliot, M., Sutherland, J., Nicholls, R. J. Geomorphic state indicators for coastal management over decades and longer time scales. Journal of Coastal Research

2.       Payo, A., Hall, J.W., Favis-Mortlock, D., Dickson, M., Hurst, M., Ives, M., & Townend, I. CoastalME: an integrated coastal modelling environment for simulating large-scale  morphological changes. Computer and Geosciences journal

 

Coastal Area Models

1.       Brown, J., Amoudry, L. O., Souza, A. J (2015) Residual circulation modelling at the national UK scale to identify possible sediment pathways to inform decadal geomorphic evolution models. Coastal Sediments 2015 (Proceedings of). ISBN: 978-981-4689-96-0

2.       Brown, J.M. Amoudry, L.O., Souza, A.J., and Rees, J. (2015) Fate and pathways of dredged estuarine sediment spoil in response to variable sediment size and baroclinic coastal circulation. Journal of Environmental Management. DOI: org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2014.10.017

3.       Luxford, F., Stansby, P.K., Rogers, B.D. (2014) The importance of long wave reflections in tidal modelling on a continental shelf. Proceedings of the 34th International Conference on Coastal Engineering.

4.       Luxford, F., Stansby, P.K., Rogers, B.D. (2014) Accuracy of tidal modelling in Liverpool Bay with TELEMAC2D. Proceedings of the 21st TELEMAC-MASCARET User Conference.

5.       Brown, J., Bolanos, R., and Souza, A. (2014) Process contribution to the time-varying residual circulation in tidally dominated estuarine environments. Estuaries and Coasts. DOI: 10.1007/s12237-013-9745-6

6.       Bolanos, R., Brown, J., and Souza, A (2014) Wave-current interactions in a tidal dominated estuary. Continental Shelf Research, special issue: Coastal Scale Oceanography. DOI: 10.1016/j.csr.2014.05.009

7.       Bricheno, L.M., Wolf. J., Brown, J. (2014) Impacts of high resolution model downscaling in coastal regions. Continental Shelf Research, special issue: Coastal Scale Oceanography. DOI: 10.1016/j.csr.2013.11.007

8.       Chini,N. and Stansby, P.K (2013) Broad-scale hydrodynamic simulation, wave transformation and sediment pathways. Chapter 3 of  Broad Scale Coastal Simulation, New Techniques to Understand and Manage Shorelines in the Third Millennium

9.       Souza, A.J., Brown, J.M., Williams, J.J and Lymbery, G. (2013) Application of an operational storm coastal impact forecasting system. Journal of Operational Oceanography

10.   Brown, J.M., Amoudry L.O., Mercier, F. M., Souza, A.J (2013) Intercomparison of the Charnock and CORE bulk wind stress formulations for coastal ocean modelling. Ocean Science Discussions. DOI:10.5194/osd-10-519-2013

11.   Brown, J.M., Bolaños, R., Wolf, J. (2013) The depth-varying response of coastal circulation and water levels to 2D radiation stress when applied in a coupled wave–tide–surge modelling system during an extreme storm. Coastal Engineering. DOI: 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2013.08.009

12.   Brown, J. Bolanos, R., and Souza, A. (2012) Controls on monthly estuarine residuals: circulation and elevation. Ocean Dynamics, special issue: PECS 2012: Physics of Estuaries and Coastal Seas. DOI: 10.1007/s10236-014-0698-5

13.   Amoudry, L.O., Ramirez-Mendoza, R., Souza, A.J., Brown, J.M. (2012) Modelling-based assessment of suspended sediment dynamics in a hypertidal estuarine channel. Ocean Dynamics, special issue: PECS 2012: Physics of Estuaries and Coastal Seas. DOI: 10.1007/s10236-014-0698-5

In review

1.       Brown, J., Souza, A., Amoudry, L. The impact of model nesting in reproducing ROFI dynamics. Ocean Modelling Special Issue

In Preparation

1.       Stansby, P., Souza, A.J., Luxford, F., Brown, J., Amoudry, L., Rogers, B., van der Wegen, M., Nicholls, R.J., French, J.F. Large-scale coastal area models connecting landform complexes. Continental Shelf Research

 

Reduced Complexity Models, Model Integration and Model Compositions

1.       Thornhill, G., French, J.R., and Burningham, H. (2015) ESTEEM – A new 'hybrid complexity' model for simulating estuary morphological evolution at decadal to centennial scales. Coastal Sediments 2015 (Proceedings of). ISBN: 978-981-4689-96-0

2.       Nicholls, R.J., Bradbury, A., Burningham, H., Dix, J., Ellis, M., French, J., Hall, J. W., Karunarathna, H. U., Lawn, J., Pan, S., Reeve, D.R., Rogers, B., Souza, A., Stansby, P.K., Sutherland, J., Tarrant, O., Walkden, M., & Whitehouse, R. (2012) iCOASST - Integrating Coastal Sediment Systems. ICCE 2012 (Proceedings of)

3.       Barkwith, A., Thomas, C. W., Limber, P. W., Ellis, M. A., and Murray, A. B. (2014) Coastal vulnerability of a pinned, soft-cliff coastline – Part 1: Assessing the natural sensitivity to wave climate. Earth Surface Dynamics. DOI: 10.5194/esurf-2-295-2014

4.       Barkwith, A., Hurst, M.D., Thomas, C. W., Ellis, M. A., Limber, P. W., and Murray, A. B. (2014) Coastal vulnerability of a pinned, soft-cliff coastline, II: Assessing the influence of sea walls on future morphology. Earth Surface Dynamics. DOI: 10.5194/esurf-2-233-2014

5.       Van Maanen, B., Walkden, M. J. A., Nicholls, R. J. (2015) Modelling inlet dynamics to explore coupled system behaviour over decadal scales. Coastal Sediments 2015 (Proceedings of). ISBN: 978-981-4689-96-0

6.       Nicholls, R.J.,  French, J., Burningham, H., Van Maanen, B., Payo, A., Sutherland, J., Walkden, M., Thornhill, G., Brown, J., Luxford, F., Simm, J., Reeve, D.E., Hall, J. W., Souza, A., Stansby, P.K., Amoudry, L.O., Rogers, B.D., Ellis, M., Whitehouse, R., Horrillo-Caraballo, J.M., Karunarathna, H.U., Pan, S., Plater, A., Dix, J., Barnes, J & Heron, E. (2015) Improving Decadal Coastal Geomorphic Predictions: An Overview of the ICOASST Project. Coastal Sediments 2015 (Proceedings of). ISBN: 978-981-4689-96-0

7.       Hurst, M., Barkwith, A., Ellis, M., Thomas, C., Murray, B. (2015) Exploring the sensitivities of crenulate-bay shorelines to wave climates using a new vector-based one-line model. JGR-Earth Surface. DOI: 10.1002/2015JF003704

8.       Walkden, M., Payo, A., Barnes, J., Burningham, H. (2015) Modelling the response of coupled barrier and cliff systems to sea level rise. Coastal Sediments 2015 (Proceedings of). ISBN: 978-981-4689-96-0

9.       Sutherland, J., Nicholls, R.J., Burningham, H., Rossington, K., Lopez de San Roman Blanco, B., Brown, J.M. (2015) Representing and modelling coastal systems over a regional scale for coastal management. Proceedings of Coastal Management 2015, Changing Coasts, Changing Climate, Changing Minds

10.   Sutherland, J., Rosington, K., Whitehouse, R., Blanco, B., and L’Homme, J. (2015) Decadal simulations of coastal geomorphic evolution in Liverpool Bay, UK. Coastal Sediments 2015 (Proceedings of). ISBN: 978-981-4689-96-0

11.   Sutherland, J., Townend, I.H., Harpham, Q.K. and Pearce, G.R (2014) From integration to fusion: the challenges ahead. The Geological Society (Book) In Model Fusion: Integrating Environmental Models to Solve Real World Problems. DOI: 10.1144/SP408.6

12.   Sutherland, J., Bolster, M. and Harper, A. (2013) Beachplan as an OpenMI composition. Proceedings of the 35th IAHR World Congress, Chengdu, China. ISBN 978-7-89414-588-8

In Press

1.       van Maanen, B., Nicholls, R.J., French, J.R., Barkwith, A., Bonaldo, D., Burningham, H.,  Murray, A.B., Payo, A., Sutherland, J., Thornhill, G., Townend, I., van der Wegen, M., Walkden, M.J.A (2015) Simulating mesoscale coastal evolution for decadal coastal management: A new framework integrating multiple, complementary modelling approaches. Geomorphology. DOI: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2015.10.026

2.       Nicholls, R., French, J., Van Maanen, B. (2015) Editorial: Simulating decadal coastal morphodynamics. Geomorphology. DOI: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2015.10.015

In Preparation

1.       Sutherland, J., Cleverley, Rossington, K., & Lopez San Roman Blanco, B. An integrated environmental modelling approach to long-term coastal evolution. Environmental Modelling & Software

2.       Sutherland, J., Rossington, K., San Roman Blanco, B., Whitehouse, R., & Brown, J. A probabilistic model of decadal coastal evolution. Coastal Engineering

3.       Sutherland, J., Nicholls, R.J., French, J.R., & Simm, J. A hierarchical approach to long-term regional coastal evolution. Proc. ICE, Maritime Engineering

4.       Sutherland, J., Rossington, K., Lopez San Roman Blanco, B., & Whitehouse, R. Decadal simulations of coastal geomorphic evolution using a composition of linked models. Marine Geology

5.       Hurst, M., Barkwith, A., Ellis, M., & Thomas, C. Evolution of large shingle spits as a function of wave climates. Journal of Coastal Research

6.       Thomas, C. Sensitivity and response of pinned soft-cliff coasts to variable external forcing. Earth Surface Dynamics

7.       van Maanen, B., Nicholls, R.J., Burningham, H. et al. Aggregated modelling of a tidal inlet with ebb delta breaching and periodic sediment bypassing: Deben estuary, Suffolk, UK. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science

8.       van Maanen, B., Walkden, M., Burningham, H., French, J., Nicholls, R.J., Barnes, J. et al. Morphodynamic modelling of a coupled open coast, inlet and estuary system to explore the impacts of climate change and management interventions. Journal of Geophysical Research, Earth Processes

9.       French, J.R., Thornhill, G., Burningham, H. et al. ESTEEM - A 'hybrid complexity' model to simulate morphological evolution of estuaries at decadal to centennial scales. Geophysical Research Letters

10.   Pylarinou, K., French, J.R., Burningham, H. Critical evaluation of the Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM): sensitivity of simulated intertidal habitat changes to assumptions made in the underlying sedimentation sub-models. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science.

11.   Thornhill, G., French, J.R., Burningham, H. An open GIS-based tool for mapping the structure of coupled estuary, coast and inner shelf sediment systems. Environmental Modelling and Software.

 

Data and Data-Driven Models

1.       French, J., Burningham H. (2015) Wave-driven sediment pathways on the gravel-dominated Suffolk Coast, Eastern UK. Coastal Sediments 2015 (Proceedings of). ISBN: 978-981-4689-96-0

2.       Burningham H., French J.R. (2015) Large-scale spatial variability in the contemporary coastal sand and gravel resource, Suffolk, Eastern UK. Coastal Sediments 2015 (Proceedings of). ISBN: 978-981-4689-96-0

3.       Burningham, H. (2015) Gravel spit-inlet dynamics: Orford Spit, UK. In: Randazzo, G., Cooper, J.A.G., Jackson D., Sand and Gravel Spits, Coastal Research Library. ISBN: 978-3-319-13715-5

4.       Burningham, H., French, J.R (2014) Travelling forelands: complexities in drift and migration patterns. Journal of Coastal Research. DOI: 10.2112/SI70-018.1

5.       Reeve, D., Karunarathna, H., Horrillo-Caraballo, J. M., Pan, S. (2015) Modelling the medium term morphodynamic response of a coastal plain region using logical networks. Coastal Sediments 2015 (Proceedings of). ISBN: 978-981-4689-96-0

6.       Horrillo-Caraballo, J. M., Reeve, D. E., Karunarathna, H., S. Pan, and H. Burningham (2015) Multi-scale statistical analysis of beach profiles on the Suffolk coast, UK. Coastal Sediments 2015 (Proceedings of). ISBN: 978-981-4689-96-0

7.       Karunarathna, H. Ranasinghe, R. and Reeve, D.E. (2015) A Hybrid Beach Morphology Model Applied to a High Energy Sandy Beach. Ocean Dynamics. DOI 10.1007/s10236-015-0884-0

8.       Karunarathna, H., Mase, H., and Baba Y. (2015) Analysis of multi-scale morphodynamic behavior of a high energy beach facing the Sea of Japan. Frontiers in Marine Science. DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2015.00051

9.       Karunarathna, H., Kuriyama, Y., Mase, H., Horrillo-Caraballo, J.M., & Reeve, D., E. (2015) Forecasts of seasonal to inter-annual beach change using a reduced physics beach profile model. Marine Geology

10.   Karunarathna, H., Pender, D., Ranasinghe, R., Short, A. D., & Reeve, D. E. (2014) The effects of storm clustering on beach profile variability. Marine Geology

11.   Reeve, D. E., & Valsamidis, A. (2014) Analysis of the stability properties of a class of beach evolution models. Coastal Engineering

12.   Valsimidis, A., Cai, Y., & Reeve, D.E. (2013) Modelling beach-structure interaction using a Heaviside technique: application and validation. Proceedings 12th International Coastal Symposium (Plymouth, England), Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue. ISSN 0749-0208

13.   Horrillo-Caraballo, J.M., Reeve, D.E., Simmonds, D., Pan, S., Fox, A., Thompson, R., Hoggarth, S., Kwan, S.S.H., Greaves D. (2013) Application of a source-pathway-receptor-consequence (S-P-R-C) methodology to the Teign Estuary, UK. In: Conley, D.C., Masselink, G., Russell, P.E. and O’Hare, T.J. (eds.), Proceedings 12th International Coastal Symposium Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue

14.   Pan, S., Horrillo-Caraballo, J.M., Reeve, D.E., Simmonds, D. (2013) Morphological Modelling of V-Shaped Submerged Breakwaters. Proceedings of the ICE Coasts, Maritime Structures and Breakwaters (From Sea to Shore - Meeting the Challenges of the Sea)

15.   Reeve D.E., Horrillo-Caraballo, J.M. (2013) Pattern investigation of beach evolution in the vicinity of coastal structures at Herne Bay, UK. Proceedings of the ICE Coasts, Maritime Structures and Breakwaters (From Sea to Shore - Meeting the Challenges of the Sea)

16.   Karunarathna, H., and Reeve, D.E. (2013) A hybrid approach to model shoreline change at multiple timescales. Continental Shelf Research

In Press

1.       Reeve, D., Karunarathna, H., Pan, S., Caraballo, J. M., Różyński, G., Ranasinghe, R. Evaluation of data-driven and hybrid coastal morphological prediction methods for meso-scale Forecasting. Geomorphology

In review

1.       Pan, S., Horrillo-Caraballo, J.M., Karunarathna, H., Reeve, D.E. Mapping coastal processes onto medium-term morphological change. Coastal Engineering

2.       Horrillo-Caraballo, J.M., Karunarathna, H., Pan, S., Reeve, D.E. Performance of a data-driven technique to changes in wave height and its effect over beach response. Water Science and Engineering

Poster

1.       Karunarathna, H., Kuriyama, Y., and Mase, H., Horrillo-Caraballo, J.M., Reeve, D. E. (2015) Modelling Inter-Annual Scale Beach Change. Coastal Sediments 2015 (Proceedings of). ISBN: 978-981-4689-96-0

In Preparation

1.       Karunarathna, H., Horrillo-Caraballo, J.M., Burningham, H., & Reeve, D.E. A model for morphodynamic behaviour of an estuary using a reduced physics approach. Marine Geology

 

Miscellaneous

1.       Becker, P. and Payo, A. (2013) Changing the paradigm: a requisite for safe and sustainable coastal societies. Journal of Geography & Natural Disasters. DOI: 10.4172/2167-0587.S1-002

2.       Payo, A., Muñoz-Perez, J. J. (2013) Discussion of Ford, M.R.; Becker, J.M., and Merrifield, M.A. 2013. Reef Flat Wave Processes and Excavation Pits: Observations and Implications for Majuro Atoll, Marshall Islands. Journal of Coastal Research. DOI: 10.2112/JCOASTRES-D-13-00051.1

3.       Payo, A., Hall, J.W. (2014) Feedbacks between energy extraction and bed elevation morphodynamic. 3rd Oxford Tidal Energy Workshop. http://www.eng.ox.ac.uk/tidal/ote-papers/2014/p13

4.       Payo, A., Becker, P., Otto, A., Vervoort, J., and Kingsborough, A. (2015) Experiential lock-in: characterizing avoidable maladaptation in infrastructure systems. Journal of Infrastructure Systems. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)IS.1943-555X.0000268

5.       Lazarus, E., Ellis, M. A., Murray, B., Hall, D. M (2015) An evolving research agenda for human-coastal systems. Geomorphology. DOI: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2015.07.043